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Fukuda Lab (Earthquake Occurrence Prediction Research Center)
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The lab explores earthquake cycles and crustal deformation using GNSS observation data and numerical models.

AboutAbout the lab
Reading fault motion from the slightest movements of the ground.
The Fukuda Lab studies crustal deformation related to earthquakes, using geodetic observation data such as GNSS together with numerical models.
By examining how the ground moved before and after earthquakes, the lab clarifies how fault locking and slip occur.
To do this, the lab also develops methods for estimating the contents of numerical models from observation data.
Key terms
- GNSS
- A system that precisely measures positions on the ground by receiving radio signals from positioning satellites such as GPS. It can detect even slight movements of the ground.
- Crustal deformation
- The gradual or sudden movement or deformation of the ground caused by earthquakes, volcanoes, or plate motion.
- Afterslip
- A phenomenon in which a fault continues to slip slowly, without producing shaking, after a large earthquake.
- Bayesian statistics
- A statistical approach that uses observed data to update, as probabilities, the likelihood of unknown values.
ResearchResearch themes
By combining geodetic observation data such as GNSS with numerical models of fault motion and Earth deformation, the lab aims to clarify crustal deformation and fault motion related to the earthquake cycle, as well as the mechanisms behind them. The lab also develops crustal deformation modeling methods for this purpose.
*Illustrative imageEarthquake Cycle and Crustal Deformation
The lab explains the earthquake cycle, the sequence of fault locking before an earthquake, rapid slip during the earthquake, and afterslip following it, using models that incorporate viscoelastic deformation of the asthenosphere. It investigates how faults were locked and how they slipped before and after great earthquakes, as well as the frictional properties of faults.
*Illustrative imageCrustal Deformation Modeling Methods
The lab develops methods for estimating the parameters of complex numerical models from observation data, based on the theory of inverse problems, Bayesian statistics, and data assimilation. It also builds methods for estimating from geodetic data how fault slip and crustal deformation change over time.
MembersFaculty
- Associate ProfessorJunichi FukudaPublications ↗
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Report an errorAbout the images
The top and research theme images are illustrative and were not taken at the lab. They are cropped from Wikimedia Commons images. Cropped CC BY-SA images are provided under the same CC BY-SA license as the original (version shown on each line).
- Top image: “GEONET Continuously Operating Reference Station Ibusuki”
あじさか / CC BY-SA 4.0 (cropped) - Earthquake Cycle and Crustal Deformation: “Nankai trough topographic” Peka / CC BY-SA 3.0 (cropped)
- Crustal Deformation Modeling Methods: “Hamiltonian Monte Carlo” Justinkunimune / CC0 (cropped)
- Related lab (Space Geodesy Lab (SGAT)): “Interferogram Iran” Roberto Monti / CC BY-SA 4.0 (cropped)
- Related lab (Imanishi Lab): “The Geoid (SVS5660)” NASA's Scientific Visualization Studio - NASA/GSFC/Scott Luthcke, NASA/GSFC/Mark SubbaRao / Public domain (cropped)
- Related lab (Araya Lab): “Interferenz-michelson” FL0 / CC BY-SA 3.0 (cropped)
- Related lab (Mochizuki Lab (Marine Seismology)): “Test des sismomètres OBS (Ocean Bottom Seismometer) en bassin d'essais (Ifremer )” Olivier Dugornay (Ifremer) / CC BY 4.0 (cropped)
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